Accurate contact prediction is useful for robotic manipulation only if it supports effective decisions. We investigate this connection using a compact, randomly initialized visuotactile world model, trajectory-level uncertainty calibration, and behavi
Accurate contact prediction is useful for robotic manipulation only if it supports effective decisions. We investigate this connection using a compact, randomly initialized visuotactile world model, trajectory-level uncertainty calibration, and behavior-initialized actor-critic learning in imagination. On 160 MuJoCo Lift episodes, adding touch reduces endpoint-force prediction error from 1.058 to 0.228 N and interval-peak error from 2.724 to 0.523 N across three training seeds. However, tactile persistence achieves lower errors of 0.095 and 0.498 N, respectively. Two exploratory control rounds comprise 680 executions on 40 independent test initial conditions. A matched reward revision on fresh test environments increases in-distribution 10 cm lifting success from 20.0% to 93.3%, while success within an 8 N per-finger budget reaches only 33.3%, compared with 70.0% for force feedback. Calibration margins reduce force violations at the cost of task completion. In a separate study of public GelSight recordings, a force regressor achieves 0.04234 N error, but frame-level calibration covers only 15.80% of complete trajectories; trajectory-level calibration raises this to 87.36% at nominal 90% coverage. Together, these findings distinguish improvements in sensing and task reward from improvements in force-constrained control. The evidence is limited to public sensing records and simulator execution, without a demonstrated transfer between them.